Each candidate needs at least 270 electoral votes to win outright. But a tie at 269 isn't impossible...
Obama | McCain
Votes Probability | Votes Probability
190+ 0.9887 | 190+ 0.9819
195+ 0.9849 | 195+ 0.9739
200+ 0.9800 | 200+ 0.9629
205+ 0.9737 | 205+ 0.9485
210+ 0.9658 | 210+ 0.9301
215+ 0.9562 | 215+ 0.9070
220+ 0.9445 | 220+ 0.8792
225+ 0.9303 | 225+ 0.8456
230+ 0.9131 | 230+ 0.8064
235+ 0.8924 | 235+ 0.7617
240+ 0.8676 | 240+ 0.7123
245+ 0.8381 | 245+ 0.6584
250+ 0.8036 | 250+ 0.6023
255+ 0.7644 | 255+ 0.5443
260+ 0.7201 | 260+ 0.4856
265+ 0.6705 | 265+ 0.4278
266+ 0.6603 | 266+ 0.4165
267+ 0.6497 | 267+ 0.4052
268+ 0.6391 | 268+ 0.3940
269+ 0.6281 | 269+ 0.3829
270+ 0.6171 | 270+ 0.3719
271+ 0.6060 | 271+ 0.3609
272+ 0.5948 | 272+ 0.3503
273+ 0.5835 | 273+ 0.3397
274+ 0.5722 | 274+ 0.3295
275+ 0.5607 | 275+ 0.3191
280+ 0.5029 | 280+ 0.2708
285+ 0.4441 | 285+ 0.2272
290+ 0.3864 | 290+ 0.1890
295+ 0.3306 | 295+ 0.1557
300+ 0.2776 | 300+ 0.1271
305+ 0.2289 | 305+ 0.1031
310+ 0.1853 | 310+ 0.0831
315+ 0.1472 | 315+ 0.0666
320+ 0.1149 | 320+ 0.0530
325+ 0.0880 | 325+ 0.0417
330+ 0.0659 | 330+ 0.0325
335+ 0.0483 | 335+ 0.0250
340+ 0.0346 | 340+ 0.0190
345+ 0.0243 | 345+ 0.0143
350+ 0.0167 | 350+ 0.0106
355+ 0.0112 | 355+ 0.0077
Posts
No comments:
Post a Comment