Live odds: 11:34

Here are McCain and Obama's chances (according to Intrade's state-by-state numbers) of getting various minimum numbers of electoral votes as of 11:34 pm. McCain has conceded, and at this point it's quite clear that the only question is how significant a margin it'll be.

      Obama           |         McCain
Votes    Probability  |   Votes    Probability
 280+       0.9998    |    280+       0.0000
 285+       0.9996    |    285+       0.0000
 290+       0.9994    |    290+       0.0000
 295+       0.9988    |    295+       0.0000
 300+       0.9980    |    300+       0.0000
 305+       0.9972    |    305+       0.0000
 310+       0.9949    |    310+       0.0000
 315+       0.9929    |    315+       0.0000
 320+       0.9904    |    320+       0.0000
 325+       0.9859    |    325+       0.0000
 330+       0.9798    |    330+       0.0000
 335+       0.9699    |    335+       0.0000
 340+       0.9522    |    340+       0.0000
 345+       0.9244    |    345+       0.0000
 350+       0.8675    |    350+       0.0000
 355+       0.7954    |    355+       0.0000
 360+       0.7198    |    360+       0.0000
 365+       0.5170    |    365+       0.0000
 370+       0.3886    |    370+       0.0000
 375+       0.2975    |    375+       0.0000
 380+       0.1313    |    380+       0.0000
 385+       0.0809    |    385+       0.0000
 390+       0.0577    |    390+       0.0000
 395+       0.0415    |    395+       0.0000
 400+       0.0280    |    400+       0.0000
 405+       0.0190    |    405+       0.0000
 410+       0.0093    |    410+       0.0000
 415+       0.0041    |    415+       0.0000
 420+       0.0016    |    420+       0.0000
 425+       0.0005    |    425+       0.0000