Saturday afternoon's odds

Here are McCain and Obama's chances (according to Intrade's state-by-state numbers) of getting various minimum numbers of electoral votes for Sat. Nov. 1. Not much change from the range we've been seeing recently.

Each candidate needs at least 270 electoral votes to win outright, and a tie at 269 that throws it into the House isn't impossible.

      Obama           |         McCain
Votes    Probability  |   Votes    Probability
 265+       0.9881    |    265+       0.0210
 266+       0.9873    |    266+       0.0197
 267+       0.9865    |    267+       0.0186
 268+       0.9856    |    268+       0.0174
 269+       0.9846    |    269+       0.0163
 270+       0.9837    |    270+       0.0154
 271+       0.9826    |    271+       0.0144
 272+       0.9814    |    272+       0.0135
 273+       0.9803    |    273+       0.0127
 274+       0.9790    |    274+       0.0119
 275+       0.9776    |    275+       0.0112
 280+       0.9697    |    280+       0.0080
 285+       0.9590    |    285+       0.0057
 290+       0.9450    |    290+       0.0040
 295+       0.9267    |    295+       0.0028
 300+       0.9035    |    300+       0.0019
 305+       0.8744    |    305+       0.0013
 310+       0.8385    |    310+       0.0008
 315+       0.7959    |    315+       0.0005
 320+       0.7460    |    320+       0.0003
 325+       0.6894    |    325+       0.0002
 330+       0.6264    |    330+       0.0001
 335+       0.5597    |    335+       0.0001
 340+       0.4897    |    340+       0.0000
 345+       0.4183    |    345+       0.0000
 350+       0.3491    |    350+       0.0000
 355+       0.2834    |    355+       0.0000
 360+       0.2231    |    360+       0.0000
 365+       0.1690    |    365+       0.0000
 370+       0.1247    |    370+       0.0000
 375+       0.0884    |    375+       0.0000
 380+       0.0599    |    380+       0.0000
 385+       0.0398    |    385+       0.0000
 390+       0.0256    |    390+       0.0000
 395+       0.0161    |    395+       0.0000