Sunday Morning's Odds

Here are McCain and Obama's chances (according to Intrade's state-by-state numbers) of getting various minimum numbers of electoral votes for Sun. Nov. 2. Obama's national numbers picked up a bit from yesterday, to 88%.

Each candidate needs at least 270 electoral votes to win outright, and a tie at
269 that throws it into the House isn't impossible.

      Obama           |         McCain
Votes    Probability  |   Votes    Probability
 269+       0.9894    |    269+       0.0113
 270+       0.9887    |    270+       0.0106
 271+       0.9880    |    271+       0.0099
 272+       0.9871    |    272+       0.0093
 273+       0.9863    |    273+       0.0087
 274+       0.9854    |    274+       0.0081
 275+       0.9844    |    275+       0.0076
 280+       0.9788    |    280+       0.0054
 285+       0.9711    |    285+       0.0038
 290+       0.9609    |    290+       0.0026
 295+       0.9473    |    295+       0.0018
 300+       0.9299    |    300+       0.0012
 305+       0.9074    |    305+       0.0008
 310+       0.8787    |    310+       0.0005
 315+       0.8435    |    315+       0.0003
 320+       0.8012    |    320+       0.0002
 325+       0.7513    |    325+       0.0001
 330+       0.6934    |    330+       0.0001
 335+       0.6305    |    335+       0.0000
 340+       0.5614    |    340+       0.0000
 345+       0.4885    |    345+       0.0000
 350+       0.4150    |    350+       0.0000
 355+       0.3429    |    355+       0.0000
 360+       0.2743    |    360+       0.0000
 365+       0.2107    |    365+       0.0000
 370+       0.1578    |    370+       0.0000
 375+       0.1132    |    375+       0.0000
 380+       0.0776    |    380+       0.0000
 385+       0.0523    |    385+       0.0000
 390+       0.0341    |    390+       0.0000
 395+       0.0217    |    395+       0.0000
 400+       0.0137    |    400+       0.0000