Each candidate needs at least 270 electoral votes to win outright, and a tie at 269 that throws it into the House isn't impossible.
Obama | McCain
Votes Probability | Votes Probability
266+ 0.9897 | 266+ 0.0158
267+ 0.9891 | 267+ 0.0149
268+ 0.9884 | 268+ 0.0140
269+ 0.9876 | 269+ 0.0132
270+ 0.9868 | 270+ 0.0124
271+ 0.9860 | 271+ 0.0116
272+ 0.9851 | 272+ 0.0109
273+ 0.9842 | 273+ 0.0103
274+ 0.9832 | 274+ 0.0096
275+ 0.9822 | 275+ 0.0090
280+ 0.9761 | 280+ 0.0065
285+ 0.9683 | 285+ 0.0046
290+ 0.9581 | 290+ 0.0032
295+ 0.9450 | 295+ 0.0022
300+ 0.9283 | 300+ 0.0015
305+ 0.9073 | 305+ 0.0010
310+ 0.8812 | 310+ 0.0006
315+ 0.8492 | 315+ 0.0004
320+ 0.8108 | 320+ 0.0003
325+ 0.7655 | 325+ 0.0002
330+ 0.7132 | 330+ 0.0001
335+ 0.6546 | 335+ 0.0001
340+ 0.5905 | 340+ 0.0000
345+ 0.5219 | 345+ 0.0000
350+ 0.4510 | 350+ 0.0000
355+ 0.3804 | 355+ 0.0000
360+ 0.3123 | 360+ 0.0000
365+ 0.2485 | 365+ 0.0000
370+ 0.1922 | 370+ 0.0000
375+ 0.1444 | 375+ 0.0000
380+ 0.1050 | 380+ 0.0000
385+ 0.0744 | 385+ 0.0000
390+ 0.0518 | 390+ 0.0000
395+ 0.0355 | 395+ 0.0000
400+ 0.0238 | 400+ 0.0000
405+ 0.0156 | 405+ 0.0000
Posts
No comments:
Post a Comment