Post-debate odds

Here are McCain and Obama's chances (according to Intrade's state-by-state numbers) of getting various minimum numbers of electoral votes for the evening of Tue. Oct. 7, immediately following the 2nd debate. A bit more of a bump for Obama.

Each candidate needs at least 270 electoral votes to win outright, and a tie at 269 that throws it into the House isn't impossible.

      Obama           |         McCain
Votes    Probability  |   Votes    Probability
 245+       0.9874    |    245+       0.1760
 250+       0.9830    |    250+       0.1401
 255+       0.9771    |    255+       0.1102
 260+       0.9695    |    260+       0.0857
 265+       0.9595    |    265+       0.0660
 266+       0.9572    |    266+       0.0626
 267+       0.9548    |    267+       0.0593
 268+       0.9523    |    268+       0.0562
 269+       0.9496    |    269+       0.0533
 270+       0.9467    |    270+       0.0504
 271+       0.9438    |    271+       0.0477
 272+       0.9407    |    272+       0.0452
 273+       0.9374    |    273+       0.0428
 274+       0.9340    |    274+       0.0405
 275+       0.9304    |    275+       0.0383
 280+       0.9098    |    280+       0.0288
 285+       0.8843    |    285+       0.0216
 290+       0.8532    |    290+       0.0160
 295+       0.8161    |    295+       0.0118
 300+       0.7728    |    300+       0.0086
 305+       0.7233    |    305+       0.0062
 310+       0.6681    |    310+       0.0044
 315+       0.6082    |    315+       0.0031
 320+       0.5445    |    320+       0.0022
 325+       0.4788    |    325+       0.0015
 330+       0.4127    |    330+       0.0010
 335+       0.3485    |    335+       0.0006
 340+       0.2874    |    340+       0.0004
 345+       0.2311    |    345+       0.0003
 350+       0.1813    |    350+       0.0002
 355+       0.1387    |    355+       0.0001
 360+       0.1034    |    360+       0.0001
 365+       0.0749    |    365+       0.0000
 370+       0.0533    |    370+       0.0000
 375+       0.0371    |    375+       0.0000
 380+       0.0252    |    380+       0.0000
 385+       0.0168    |    385+       0.0000
 390+       0.0110    |    390+       0.0000