Post-Obamafomercial Odds

Here are McCain and Obama's chances (according to Intrade's state-by-state numbers) of getting various minimum numbers of electoral votes for Wed. Oct. 29, following Obama's paid 30-minute national infomercial. This is the lowest he's been at in days, although 98% still isn't bad. He's down a couple of points in the national contract as well.

Each candidate needs at least 270 electoral votes to win outright, and a tie at
269 that throws it into the House isn't impossible.

      Obama           |         McCain
Votes    Probability  |   Votes    Probability
 260+       0.9891    |    260+       0.0329
 265+       0.9852    |    265+       0.0249
 266+       0.9843    |    266+       0.0236
 267+       0.9833    |    267+       0.0223
 268+       0.9823    |    268+       0.0210
 269+       0.9813    |    269+       0.0198
 270+       0.9802    |    270+       0.0187
 271+       0.9790    |    271+       0.0177
 272+       0.9777    |    272+       0.0167
 273+       0.9764    |    273+       0.0157
 274+       0.9751    |    274+       0.0148
 275+       0.9736    |    275+       0.0140
 280+       0.9653    |    280+       0.0103
 285+       0.9546    |    285+       0.0074
 290+       0.9411    |    290+       0.0053
 295+       0.9239    |    295+       0.0037
 300+       0.9026    |    300+       0.0026
 305+       0.8761    |    305+       0.0017
 310+       0.8438    |    310+       0.0011
 315+       0.8054    |    315+       0.0007
 320+       0.7603    |    320+       0.0005
 325+       0.7086    |    325+       0.0003
 330+       0.6504    |    330+       0.0002
 335+       0.5878    |    335+       0.0001
 340+       0.5208    |    340+       0.0001
 345+       0.4513    |    345+       0.0000
 350+       0.3820    |    350+       0.0000
 355+       0.3152    |    355+       0.0000
 360+       0.2525    |    360+       0.0000
 365+       0.1951    |    365+       0.0000
 370+       0.1470    |    370+       0.0000
 375+       0.1068    |    375+       0.0000
 380+       0.0745    |    380+       0.0000
 385+       0.0510    |    385+       0.0000
 390+       0.0339    |    390+       0.0000
 395+       0.0219    |    395+       0.0000
 400+       0.0140    |    400+       0.0000